USCIS Reports Drop in Pending Employment-Based Green Card Applications
The latest USCIS inventory of pending employment-based green card applications, dated October 5, lists about 225,000 cases, down from roughly 266,000 in early September. The count covers adjustment-of-status applications filed inside the United States and leaves out applicants waiting for consular processing abroad. It also breaks the backlog down by category, country and priority date. USCIS describes the report as a way for applicants to gauge their place in line. It covers principal and dependent applications at service centers and field offices, and not cases pending at overseas posts. Our EB-1A consultants have presented a critical analysis of this drop.
What the Report suggests
Every dependent files an individual I-485, so a family of three appears as three entries. The tally covers EB-1, EB-2, EB-3 including Other Workers, and EB-5, but excludes EB-4 and religious workers. The reason for the queue is simple. A visa must be available before anyone can obtain an employment-based green card, and more people want one than there are visas.
USCIS also labels each case “available” or “awaiting availability.” Available means the priority date is earlier than the final action date in that month’s visa bulletin. It does not mean a visa number has been reserved for the applicant.
Who is in the line
EB-2 is the largest category at 83,380 pending cases, followed by EB-1 at 60,414, EB-3 at 51,529, EB-5 at 24,906 and Other Workers at 6,677. By country, India holds 72,000, China 24,174, Mexico 8,894, the Philippines 3,115 and Rest of World 118,723. India’s EB-2 line stands at 27,508, with roughly 20,600 of those applicants holding 2014 priority dates.
What October changed
The new fiscal year reshuffled who counts as “current.” On October 5, 134,648 people had a current date, down from 153,779 a month earlier. The number waiting for a date rose from 69,000 to 92,258, or 40.7 percent of the queue. That swing came from the new bulletin’s dates rather than approvals. Rest of World EB-2 went from current to a final action date of January 1, 2025. The State Department called such retrogression “necessary to keep visa issuances within FY 2027 quarterly and annual limits.”
India fared differently. India EB-2 returned at November 1, 2013, making 3,544 people current, and India EB-1 moved to February 1, 2023, making 8,008 current.
A longer view
Monthly counts have wobbled all year. India EB-2 pending fell for a seventh straight month to 25,780 in April. It then rose by 2,664 to 28,444 in May, and it stood at 27,508 on October 5.
Newsweek reported 1,560,290 Form I-485 applications of all types pending as of June 30. Another 203,204 Form I-140 petitions were pending at the end of June. A 2026 American Immigration Council report found that demand for immigrant workers keeps rising while USCIS processing capacity has not kept pace. Employment-based I-485 cases averaged about 14.1 months to process at the end of fiscal 2025.
Policy headwinds
On May 21, 2026, USCIS issued Policy Memorandum PM-602-0199, recasting adjustment of status as a discretionary act of “administrative grace” rather than a routine pathway. The denial rate for work permit applications filed by green card applicants rose to 44 percent between April and June 2026, while employment-based I-485 denials held steady at 7 percent.
The State Department reports 46,000 additional employment-based green cards for fiscal 2026. Since about August 24, it has also rescheduled immigrant visa interviews worldwide. That could raise FY2027 employment numbers, though no one can yet measure by how much.
What applicants should take away
The pending count shows the line’s length, not its speed. GreenCardClock’s estimator puts a June 2014 India EB-2 priority date at about 2028 Q3 in its base case, and it stresses these are estimates. Applicants should read the monthly Visa Bulletin alongside the inventory and consult an immigration attorney.
At GCEB1, our EB-1A experts are outlining and presenting detailed analysis of all policy changes and insights into the US immigration landscape. Get in touch with us to get the latest insights and analysis. We wish you a safe and stress free immigration journey ahead.
Frequently asked questions
1. What does the USCIS pending inventory measure?
It counts pending employment-based I-485 applications at USCIS, including dependents. It excludes consular cases.
2. Did the backlog really fall by about 41,000?
Not by an independent tally of the same data, which shows about 222,800 on September 3 and 226,900 on October 5. Verify the baseline in the USCIS file.
3. Does “available” mean my green card is approved?
No. It only means your priority date is earlier than the bulletin’s final action date.
4. Why did so many people suddenly “wait” in October?
The October bulletin retrogressed some Rest of World categories, so people with newer dates lost “current” status.
5. Where does India stand?
India has about 72,000 pending cases, including 27,508 in EB-2 and 15,485 in EB-3.
6. Does the report include everyone waiting for a green card?
No. It omits EB-4, religious workers and people processing abroad. Applicants who cannot yet file are also absent.
7. How long does employment-based adjustment take?
Late-2025 data averaged about 14.1 months. Visa availability can make the real wait much longer.
8. Could consular delays help applicants?
Possibly. Unused family visas can raise future employment limits, but the effect is not yet measurable.
9. What should I do now?
Track the Visa Bulletin and the monthly inventory, keep documents current, and consult an immigration attorney.
Sources & further readings
- Ahluwalia Law. “Green Card Processing Times and Pending Case Volumes.” https://www.ahluwalialaw.com/?p=34112.
- American Bazaar. “California, Texas and New York Account for 35% of Employment-Based Green Card Filings.” https://americanbazaaronline.com/?p=490563.
- American Immigration Council. From Petition to Permanent Residence: A Decade of USCIS Filing, Processing, and Backlog Trends. August 2026. https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/report/uscis-employment-based-immigration/.
- Alma. “New USCIS Adjustment of Status Policy.” https://www.tryalma.com/learn/new-uscis-adjustment-status-policy.
- GreenCardClock. “USCIS April 2026 I-485 Inventory.” https://greencardclock.com/blog/uscis-eb-i485-inventory-april-2026.
- GreenCardClock. “USCIS May 2026 I-485 Inventory.” https://greencardclock.com/blog/uscis-eb-i485-inventory-may-2026.
- GreenCardClock. “USCIS September and October 2026 I-485 Inventory: Where the Line Moved.” October 27, 2026. https://greencardclock.com/blog/uscis-eb-i485-inventory-september-october-2026.
- Legit.ng. “US Work Permit Rejections Surge as Over 35,000 Green Card Applicants Are Denied.” https://www.legit.ng/business-economy/industry/1736016-us-work-permit-rejections-surge-35000-green-card-applicants-denied/.
- Manifest Law. “There Are 46,000 Additional Employment-Based Green Cards Available for FY 2026.” https://manifestlaw.com/blog/immigration/news/additional-employment-based-green-cards-fy2026-06-01-2026/.
- Newsweek. “Map Shows US Green Card Backlog by State as Tally Hits 1.5 Million.” November 5, 2026. https://www.newsweek.com/map-shows-us-green-card-backlog-by-state-as-tally-hits-1-5-million-12669592.
- U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. “Immigration and Citizenship Data.” https://www.uscis.gov/tools/reports-and-studies/immigration-and-citizenship-data.
- U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. “Questions and Answers: Pending Employment-Based Form I-485 Inventory.” https://uscis.gov/archive/questions-and-answers-pending-employment-based-form-i-485-inventory.
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